Uppdatering, oddsen r nu 2.6 Harris - 1.50 Trump, men doktor Lichtman str p sig:
Citat:
Known for correctly predicted the results of the last nine out of 10 presidential elections, Lichtman said on his YouTube channel Tuesday night that his prediction has not changed, despite Democratic nominee Harris' leads in battleground states shrinking and polls being nail-bitingly close.
"Nothing has changed to change my prediction that I made on Sept. 5," Lichtman said, "in defiance of the polls."
Lichtman has come under fire for his predictions, notably with political pollster Nate Silver last month calling the American University modern history professor's keys "totally arbitrary" in a post on X.
He emphasized Tuesday the 13 keys he uses to make his predictions have not changed and criticized the prevalence of polling in the media, saying that governing, rather than campaigning, is indicative of who will win the 2024 race for the White House.
"I don't have a crystal ball, I'm not Speaker Mike Johnson who thinks he has a pipeline to the Almighty, my system is based on history, it's very robust, but it's always possible, you can't know it in advance that that there'd be something so cataclysmic and so unprecedented to break the pattern of history," Lichtman said, but that "doesn't mean my prediction is invalidated."
