Harris vs. Trump: opinionsundersökningar

Daily Mail's election model reveals Trump has surged ahead of Kamala Harris ... and shows how RFK Jr dropping out hands key state to Donald
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The latest polls have tilted the Daily Mail's election model in Donald Trump's direction giving him a decisive lead over Kamala Harris a day before he goes head to head with his Democratic rival on the debate stage.

The algorithms show he now has a 55 percent chance of becoming president, a 4.5-point boost since last week.
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Feeding that and other recent surveys into the model, developed for us by J.L. Partners, shows that the crucial battleground of Pennsylvania has now moved clearly into the Trump column.
It has gone from a 50 percent tossup to a 60 percent chance of a Trump win, largely because of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s decision to end his independent run.

And there is more bad news for the vice president in the so called 'Blue Wall.'

Again it comes down to RFK Jr. and th impact of his name being removed from ballots in Michigan.

Harris's chance of winning that swing state has dropped from 64 percent to 52 percent.

Michael Tracey@mtracey

This is pretty wild, per new NYT/Siena poll. The demographic that identifies most as Democrats is voters age 65+. The demographic that identifies least as Democrats is voters age 18-29

Patrick Svitek@PatrickSvitek

New Pew national poll of 8,044 RVs has Trump, Harris tied at 49% each: