Harris vs. Trump: opinionsundersökningar

Rosenberg: What happened in 2022 is that in the battleground states, the Republicans flooded the field with polls that were usually 2-4 points more Republican than the independent polls. They ended up pushing the polling averages to the right. RCP had Republicans with 54 Senate seats.

Some of those same polling outfits that haven’t done public polling for the last two years have returned. Wick, Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, and Patriot Polling started producing polls in the battleground states, showing their results 2-4 points more Republican than all the other polling. So, it’s literally the exact same thing.

The reason it matters is it demobilizes. When we think we’re losing, we demobilize. Our voters disengage, and money dries up. The same is true for them. They want to give Trump and Republican voters the belief that the election is closer than it really is.

The second thing is if Trump tries to cheat and overturn the election results, he needs data showing he was somehow winning..

https://x.com/Acyn/status/1834411436413780445

It’s interesting that there are virtually zero Dem counterparts to these low quality Republican-aligned pollsters:

Big Data Poll
co/efficient
InsiderAdvantage
McLaughlin
Patriot Polling
Quantus
Rasmussen
SoCal
Spry
Trafalgar
Wick

2022 showed us it wasn’t a “free market” issue.

https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/1834795748065509571